Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SAND prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-16 0.150286 0.179834 0.213128 0.253341 0.300514 0.354011 0.419194
2025-03-23 0.108443 0.146547 0.194406 0.258587 0.342021 0.446384 0.586338
2025-03-30 0.085106 0.126054 0.181832 0.262636 0.375829 0.527729 0.745764
2025-04-06 0.067661 0.108321 0.167621 0.259236 0.395726 0.589709 0.883887
2025-04-13 0.055214 0.094716 0.155912 0.255932 0.413121 0.647818 1.020844
2025-04-20 0.048235 0.087964 0.152866 0.264289 0.447693 0.733399 1.206083
2025-04-27 0.045270 0.087125 0.158755 0.287105 0.506993 0.862240 1.470460
2025-05-04 0.040862 0.082857 0.158027 0.298364 0.548130 0.965820 1.704432
2025-05-11 0.035081 0.074954 0.149589 0.294708 0.562865 1.026727 1.873222
2025-05-18 0.029347 0.066052 0.137865 0.283199 0.561794 1.059822 1.996808
2025-05-25 0.024340 0.057666 0.125768 0.269080 0.553766 1.079099 2.096859
2025-06-01 0.022037 0.054613 0.123753 0.274267 0.582595 1.167282 2.328794
2025-06-08 0.018406 0.048076 0.113892 0.262899 0.579138 1.197858 2.462660
2025-06-15 0.016658 0.045615 0.112432 0.269073 0.612082 1.301874 2.747775
2025-06-22 0.015002 0.043035 0.110268 0.273335 0.641422 1.401558 3.033833
2025-06-29 0.013090 0.039391 0.105019 0.269811 0.653432 1.467184 3.257583
2025-07-06 0.011457 0.036136 0.100146 0.266382 0.665068 1.532900 3.487323
2025-07-13 0.010638 0.034979 0.100306 0.275055 0.705218 1.662859 3.863630
2025-07-20 0.010565 0.035984 0.106194 0.298731 0.783116 1.881869 4.449764
2025-07-27 0.009954 0.035242 0.107323 0.310412 0.833569 2.044575 4.926668
2025-08-03 0.008813 0.032588 0.102785 0.306620 0.845650 2.121689 5.219946
2025-08-10 0.007544 0.029213 0.095620 0.294679 0.835764 2.147032 5.397925
2025-08-17 0.006369 0.025861 0.087915 0.280027 0.816977 2.149319 5.522410